Apr 2, 2009

San Jose @ Edmonton; Probabilities.

So, here's the situation.

The Oilers are sitting at 81 points with 5 games left.

The last two playoff spots are held by Nashville and Anaheim, each with 84 points.

That is 3 points ahead of Edmonton.

Anaheim:
Home Win%: 48.7%
Away Win%: 52.6%
Home games left:2
Away games left:3
Proportional home wins: 1
Proportional away wins: 1-2
Probable point total come end of season: 88-90

Nashville:
Home Win%: 59%
Away Win%: 39%
Home games left:2
Away games left:3
Proportional home wins: 1
Proportional away wins: 1
Probable point total come end of season: 88

St Louis:
Home win%: 55%
Away win%: 40.5%
Home games left: 1
Away games left: 4
Proportional home wins: 0-1
Proportional away wins: 1-2
Probable point total come end of season: 85-89

Minnesota:
Home win%: 52.3%
Away win%: 41%
Home games left: 3
Away games left: 2
Proportional home wins: 1-2
Proportional away wins: 1
Probable point total come end of season: 85-89

The Oilers:
Home win%: 43.2%
Away win%: 50%
Home games left: 4
Away games left: 1
Proportional home wins: 1-2
Proportional away wins: 0-1
Probable point total come end of season: 85-89

Take away from that what you will; but what I take away is this:

If the Oilers want to make the playoffs they better start breaking some of their patterns that they've established.

No more excuses boys.

As Always: Go Oilers Go!

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